PGA Championship 2020: Latest Odds, Best Picks for TPC Harding Park

Brooks Koepka and Justin Thomas are the men to beat at the PGA Championship, which begins on Thursday at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco, California.

The former is aiming to become only the second man to win the tournament three times in a row in almost a century, while Thomas is looking to win back-to-back tournaments for only the second time in his career after triumphing at the WGC-FedEx Invitational at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, last week.

Seventeen of the last 20 PGA Championship winners had already tasted success in the season prior to winning the tournament, which bodes well for some of the most high-profile players in the field.

At the same time, it's worth noting that 62 percent of the last 34 winners at the PGA Championship had never won a major before, therefore a surprise winner can never be ruled out.

With that in mind, here's a look at the favorites to triumph in San Francisco this week.

Brooks Koepka

The defending champion arrives in San Francisco as a 10/1 favorite with Fan Duel, while DraftKings has him as second-favorite at the same odds behind only Justin Thomas.

Koepka could become the first man to win the PGA Championship in three consecutive years in the stroke play era—Walter Hagen managed the feat four times in a row in the match play era—and has an incredibly strong record at majors. Koepka has won four of the last 10 majors and finished tied for second and tied for fourth in two of his other entries. However, he hasn't won a tournament since May last year and has endured a difficult 12 months because of a persisting knee injury.

Koepka's tie for second at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational was his second top-10 finish in six entries since the PGA Tour resumed in June, but it came after he had missed the cut in two of his three previous starts.

Justin Thomas

Backing the world No. 1 may not require a particular degree of research, but Thomas simply cannot be ignored ahead of the first major of the season. The 27-year-old returned to the top of the world rankings for the first time since May 2018 last week, after triumphing at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational in Memphis, Tennessee, and is one of the most in-form players on the PGA Tour. In six starts since the post-lockdown resumption, Thomas has finished in the top-20 five times, including four top-10 finishes.

An 8/1 favorite with DraftKings and 11/1 second-favorite with FanDuel, Thomas has won back-to-back tournaments just once in his career but looks a great bet to win a second career major—he won the PGA Championship in 2017—particularly if he can address some struggles with the putter he displayed last week.

Brooks Koepka, PGA Championship
Brooks Koepka of the United States poses with the Wanamaker Trophy during the Trophy Presentation Ceremony after winning the final round of the 2019 PGA Championship at the Bethpage Black course on May 19, 2019 in Farmingdale, New York. Patrick Smith/Getty

Rory McIlroy

At 14/1 with FanDuel, McIlroy is the bookmakers' joint-third favorite to win this weekend along with Jon Rahm, the man who dethroned him as world No. 1 two weeks ago. After finishing outside the top 10 just once in 10 starts since missing the cut at The Open Championship last July, the Northern Irishman hasn't finished higher than 11th in the five events he's played since the restart.

Despite his lacklustre recent form, McIlroy can't be overlooked this week as he looks for a first major win since 2014. The former world No. 1 won the WGC-Cadillac Match Play at TPC Harding Park in 2015—when the course was set up to a par-71, as opposed to a par-70 this week—and with less pressure on his shoulders than Koepka and Thomas he could spring a surprise.

Jon Rahm

Rahm's spell at the top of the world rankings lasted only a week and he was swiftly dethroned by Justin Thomas, who won the WGC-FedEx last week while the Spaniard finished tied for 52nd. Rahm, however, arrives in San Francisco as a joint-third favorite at 14/1 and if his display at TPC Southwind last week was disappointing, he can at least find solace in the fact he signed off with a 4-under par round of 66.

The 25-year-old is still looking to win his first major and could thrive on a course like TPC Harding Park, which has common traits with Torrey Pines where Rahm has won in the past.

Bryson DeChambeau

After recording seven consecutive top-eight finishes, which included winning the Rocket Mortgage Classic in June, DeChambeau appears to hit a rough patch at the worst possible time. He missed the cut at the Memorial Tournament before finishing 30th at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational last week, which doesn't bode well for his hopes of improving a disappointing record in majors, where he has never finished higher than tied for 15th at the 2016 U.S. Open.

Despite all of the above, DeChambeau is a 16/1 shot to triumph in his native California this week.

Xander Schauffele

The 26-year-old is yet to win a major, but that's not for want of trying. Schauffele has finished in the top-five of a major championship four times in 11 entries and in the top six six times, although his best finish at a PGA Championship is tied for 16th.

The world No. 11 arrives at TPC Harding Park with odds oscillating between 18/1 and 20/1 following a run of form that has seen him finish in the top 20 in five of his last six starts, including the last four consecutive entries, and will be desperate to break his major duck in his home state.

Dustin Johnson

Still looking for his second major win since triumphing at the U.S. Open in 2016, Johnson is a 20/1 outsider to win at TPC Harding Park this week. The 36-year-old has finished in the top-10 at the PGA Championship in three of his last six years and finished tied for 12th at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational last week, his first top-15 finish since he won the Travelers Championship at the end of June.

At TPC Southwind last week, Johnson gained at least 2.2 strokes in each of the tee-to-green categories, but was let down by strokes on the greens. If he can rectify that, he could be a major threat this week.

Dustin Johnson, PGA Tour
Dustin Johnson reacts after playing a shot from the 16th bunker during the third round of the World Golf Championship-FedEx St Jude Invitational at TPC Southwind on August 1 in Memphis, Tennessee. Michael Reaves/Getty