Super Tuesday Exit Polls and What They Could Mean

With Super Tuesday voting results starting to come in across the U.S., information about the voting demographics from exit polling is also being collected. While the information gathered by these polls is not conclusive and subject to change, the data can provide interesting insights into American Democratic voters and their reasons for choosing a certain candidate.

North Carolina

Almost one-third of North Carolina voters are African-American and Biden's strong ties to that community seem to have helped him gain the lead so far. A majority of North Carolina voters also chose Biden as the candidate who's most likely to defeat President Donald Trump, according to CNN. 32 percent of Biden voters polled describe themselves as "very liberal" while 38 percent of those who voted for Sanders describe themselves in the same fashion. 47 percent of those polled who voted for Biden say they would rather nominate a candidate who can beat Trump, 38 percent of those who voted for Sanders want someone who agrees with them on major issues.


Roughly 59 percent of those who voted for Biden were women, according to exit polling. Michael Bloomberg only picked up nine percent of that demographic. Biden did well among the moderates surveyed, with 52 percent of them having no college degree. Voters in that state chose Biden as the candidate most likely to defeat Trump, according to exit polling data from The New York Times.


Sanders almost evenly split the gender demographic in Vermont with 58 percent of men and 56 percent of women voting for him. However, while only 52 percent of Sanders' voters want a candidate who can beat Trump, 68 percent would choose someone who agrees with them on the issues, according to The Washington Post.


Maine voters could favor Sanders and his policies, as voters there approved of socialism two to one in exit polls. Maine voters were also more in favor of a massive change in health care policy, something Sanders has been promoting with his Medicare for All plan. Meanwhile, eight of ten Maine voters have expressed frustration with how Trump has been running the country, according to the Post.


Oklahoma voters believe Biden would have the best chance to defeat Trump with 46 percent of those taking part in exit polls giving him the nod, according to the Post. Over half of them want to see a nominee who can defeat Trump as opposed to someone who agrees with them on the issues.

Exit polls
Steve Kim casts his ballot during the presidential primary vote at the public library in Glendale, California on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020. Getty


In Senator Elizabeth Warren's home state, more voters with college degrees cast their votes for her than frontrunner Bernie Sanders. Warren nabbed 31 percent of college grads while Sanders received 26 percent. 27 percent of Warren voters wanted someone they believed could beat Trump in the general election. Meanwhile, 31 percent of those who voted for Warren supported replacing private health insurance with a government plan, but Sanders received more votes in the exit poll for that category with 43 percent, data from the Washington Post shows.


65 percent of Biden voters identified as Democrats, but Biden also brought in 46 percent of the Independent vote, according to exit polls from the Post. Most Alabama Democrats decided to vote for Biden in the past few days, which may indicate that the endorsements from former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar helped sway voters towards Biden. Race relations was the most important issue for Biden voters of whom 69 percent of those surveyed said was the most important issue.


Younger voters flocked to Sanders' support in Minnesota with 62 percent of those participating in the exit poll between the ages of 17-29. Biden's demographic skewed far older with 59 percent of his voters being in the 65 and older range. 49 percent of Biden voters made up their minds within the last few days which may be because of the endorsement of Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar, who dropped out of the presidential race and endorsed Biden. Voters seemed decidedly against Sanders' Medicare for All legislation with 61 percent of Biden voters opposing the replacement of all private health insurance, the Post said.


Very liberal voters in Colorado helped the Sanders campaign with 54 percent of those polled landing in that demographic. Biden only pulled seven percent of the "very liberal" voter category. 41 percent of those who voted for Sanders called income inequality the most important issue in the vote. While 18 percent of Biden's voters said beating Trump was the most important factor in nominating a candidate, 25 percent of Sanders' voters agreed with that assessment. However, 46 percent of Sanders' voters said they wanted a candidate who agreed with them on major issues, the Washington Post said.


53 percent of African-America voters surveyed in Tennessee voted for Biden as opposed to only 20 percent for Sanders. As has been the trend, older individuals voted for Biden as he pulled in 50 percent of the vote from the 65-plus demographic. Sanders showed somewhat of a reversal gaining 64 percent of the 18-29 year old demographic. Tennessee skewed moderate in the polling with 47 percent of Biden voters labeling themselves as "moderate or conservative." Only 16 percent of Sanders voters placed themselves in that category. Most Tennessee voters did not support socialist principles as was evidenced by 43 percent of Biden voters claiming an "unfavorable" opinion of socialism, according to the Post.


Biden's popularity with the Black community came to fruition in Texas as
60 percent of African-Americans gave him their vote. In comparison, only 18 percent of African-Americans polled voted for Sanders. 43 percent of those polled who voted for Biden said race relations was the most important issue of the election. Climate change was also important to Texas voters according to 33 percent of Sanders voters and 32 percent of Biden voters, the Post said.


California's Hispanic and Latino communities came out in support of Sanders on Tuesday, according to exit polling info from The Washington Post. 55 percent of the Hispanic and Latino demographic voted for Sanders while only 21 percent voted for Biden. As in other states, the age divide between Biden and Sanders supporters was wide. 72 percent of Sanders voters were between the ages of 18-29. Biden garnered 37 percent of his votes from voters aged 65 and over. 47 percent of those who voted for Sanders believed income inequality was the most important issue in the vote. While 53 percent of Sanders voters supported a government-run health care plan, 34 percent of Biden's voters opposed it.