Trump Trailing Biden With White Voters, a Group He Carried Easily in 2016

President Donald Trump is trailing Democratic candidate Joe Biden among white voters, a group Trump carried easily in 2016, with less than three weeks until the November election.

The latest NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist poll found that Biden leads Trump in the survey among white voters 51 to 47 percent. The current numbers are in stark contrast to those from the 2016 election, when Trump won the white vote by 20 points, according to NPR.

White evangelical Christians, people living in rural areas and white voters without college degrees continue to be Trump's strongest supporters, although his popularity with the latter has shrunk significantly within the last month, according to the poll.

In September's Marist poll, Trump led Biden among white voters without a college degree 63 to 33 percent, NPR reported. That number lowered 19 percentage points in October's poll, with 54 percent of the group supporting Trump compared to the 43 percent who said they would vote for Biden.

Trump handily won this demographic in 2016 as well, receiving 66 percent of their vote compared to Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton's 29 percent, according to NPR.

Kentucky early voting
A person delivers their absentee ballot into a ballot drop box at the Kentucky Center for African American Heritage on October 13, 2020 in Louisville, Kentucky. Jon Cherry/Getty

The latest Marist poll found that Biden received the majority of voters' support overall, with 54 percent of likely voters saying they'd cast their ballot for him, compared to the 43 percent who chose Trump.

Americans were polled October 8 through 13, one week after the first presidential debate and Trump's positive COVID-19 diagnosis. A majority of likely voters (53 percent) found that Biden benefitted more from the debate than Trump, according to NPR.

The 54 percent of voters polled who said they'd vote for Biden is the highest level of support the former vice president has received from this particular poll since it began surveying voters in February, according to NPR. Biden has never been below 50 percent in the question and Trump has never been above 44 percent.

Still, only a slight majority of likely voters (52 percent) view Trump's presidency as a failure, while 45 percent argue it's been a success, the poll found.

When the question gets broken down by race and ethnicity, white voters are split. Sixty-two percent of those with a college degree believe the Trump presidency has failed, whereas 56 percent of white voters without a college degree view it as a success.

Three-quarters of Black voters polled see Trump's presidency as a failure, and 53 percent of Latinos say the same.

The vast amount of Democratic voters polled (91 percent) believe his presidency has failed, whereas nearly the same number of Republicans (93 percent) argue it's been a success. With independents, a group Trump won in 2016, only 56 percent say his presidency has been a failure, NPR reported.