U.S.

Trump Will Lose 2020 Election, Majority of Americans Predict

The majority of Americans do not think President Donald Trump will win the 2020 election, a new poll shows.

Only 40 percent of Americans said their best guess was that Trump will regain office, while 54 percent said he will lose, a CNN poll conducted by research company SSRS and released on Thursday revealed.

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That breakdown was slightly worse than the results for the same poll question asked about President Barack Obama in March 2010—44 percent predicted Obama would be re-elected and 54 percent thought he would not. Trump’s results were better than those of President Bill Clinton in a January 1995 poll, in which only 24 percent said he would win re-election and 65 percent said he would lose.

Both Obama and Clinton were re-elected.

In the new poll, conducted March 22 to 25, 79 percent of Republicans had faith that Trump would win, while 87 percent of Democrats said he will lose. A majority of independents, 54 percent, agreed with the Democrats.

Regarding the Republican presidential primary, 75 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents want to nominate Trump.

Among Republicans who favored choosing another candidate, there was no consensus on a new contender. Possible Republican candidates Mike Pence, Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan, Ted Cruz, Oprah Winfrey and Trey Gowdy all received 1 percent of votes from poll participants.

Last month, Trump formally announced he will be seeking office in 2020, saying he had appointed longtime digital marketing strategist Brad Parscale as his campaign manager.

“In addition to focusing on building its infrastructure for the 2020 race, the Trump Campaign will be engaged in the 2018 midterm elections this year, providing candidates with general support, endorsements, and rallying the support of the political grassroots by engaging Trump supporters in districts and states,” the campaign announcement said.

The latest poll involved 1,014 adults and had a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.