U.S. Coronavirus Death Toll Curve Has Now Passed China's At the Same Stage

The coronavirus death toll curve in the U.S. has now surpassed China, where the virus originated, at the same stage, nearly 20 days since each countries' tenth reported death.

In a recent article published by The Financial Times, graphs show the time progression in number of deaths for different countries, beginning from the point that each country reported its tenth death. According to the graphs, the U.S. reported over 1,300 deaths in the 20 days since marking its tenth fatality. At the same 20-day benchmark, China reported around 1,000 deaths.

The graphs also show that the United States' death toll curve will continue to increase in the coming weeks, whereas fatalities in China have begun to slow. At the 35-day mark, the Asian nation reported 2,715 total deaths.

The graphs also show that the trajectory of the U.S. death toll curve is on pace to double the number of deaths reported every three days. The data from the graphs is pulled from Johns Hopkins University and Worldometers.

The graphs were published on Thursday, March 26, just a day before the U.S. surpassed China for most confirmed cases of the novel coronavirus, which causes the respiratory disease COVID-19. On Friday, Italy also surpassed China in confirmed cases. According to a tracker provided by Johns Hopkins University, there are over 92,000 confirmed cases in the U.S. and over 86,000 cases in Italy, compared to China, which has at least 81,000.

Italy is also the country with the most reported deaths related to the virus with over 9,000.

Another separate graph also shows the rate of increase confirmed coronavirus cases in different countries, based on the number of days since the country's 100th reported case. The U.S. reported over 50,000 cases of COVID-19 20 days after it's 100th case, whereas China had around 30,000 cases at the same point.

The difference in the rate of cases and deaths in China and the U.S. may show the ways each country handled the outbreak. China placed their entire nation on lockdown following 30 reported deaths, while the U.S. has yet to implement a nationwide lockdown. Instead, individual states are determing their own coronavirus containment policies.

Another graph shows that New York state, the Spanish region of Catalonia and the country's capital city of Madrid could surpass Italy's Lombardy region as the most infected spots in the world. Spain and Italy have both eclipsed Wuhan, the Chinese city where the virus originated, for reported deaths according to the Johns Hopkins University tracker. New York state currently has 519 deaths, the majority of those in New York City. New York City is also the epicenter of the infection in the U.S., with 25,000 cases reported. The state as a whole reported 44,600 during a press conference on Friday.

Declared a global pandemic by the World Health Organization, the novel coronavirus has continued to spread across the globe, infecting over 566,000 people and causing at least 25,400 deaths. On the other hand, according to the tracker, over 127,000 people have recovered from the virus.