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By Rachel Dobkin
Weekend Reporter
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Roughly a quarter of Republicans view Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign positively, according to a new poll.
President Joe Biden dropped out of this year's presidential race on July 21 following weeks of interparty fighting among Democrats on whether he should pass the torch to the next generation after his debate fiasco against former President Donald Trump in late June in Atlanta. Biden also endorsed Harris the day he withdrew from the race.
In an ABC News/Ipsos poll conducted from August 23 to 27, 24 percent of Republicans have a positive view of Harris' campaign, while 93 percent of Democrats and 56 percent of independents rate the Democratic presidential nominee's campaign positively.
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Meanwhile, 79 percent of Republicans have a positive view of Trump's campaign. The Republican presidential nominee's campaign was also rated positively by 38 percent of independents and 13 percent of Democrats.
Overall, 56 percent of those surveyed think Harris has done an excellent or good job running her campaign while 41 percent say the same for Trump.
The poll's sample is 2,496 adults and consists of 29 percent Democrats, 29 percent Republicans and 30 percent independents. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
Kevin Wagner, a political science professor at Florida Atlantic University, told Newsweek via email on September 2: "Both Harris and Trump have some potential to attract independents or voters from the opposing party, though this cross-party appeal is likely to be limited given the high levels of partisan polarization in recent elections.
"The impact of these cross-party appeals, while modest overall, could be significant in closely contested states where recent elections have been decided by narrow margins. However, it's important to note that genuine swing voters comprise only a small percentage of the electorate."
He continued: "Many voters who register as independent are consistent party voters. Nonetheless, in a tight race, even small shifts in voter behavior or turnout resulting from candidates' stances or perceptions of the candidates may impact the outcome."
Newsweek has reached out to Trump and Harris' campaigns via email for comment on Sunday morning.
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How Are Americans Planning to Vote?
Among all adults surveyed in the ABC News/Ipsos poll, 50 percent support Harris and 46 percent support Trump. The same is true for registered voters polled. However, Harris gains 2 points among likely voters in a head-to-head with Trump (52 to 46 percent).
Meanwhile, an Outward Intelligence poll conducted between August 25 and 29 has Harris ahead of Trump by 5 points (52.6 to 47.4 percent). The poll surveyed 2,191 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.
Harris' lead, however, shrinks in a recent poll conducted by RMG Research. The poll conducted from August 26 to 28 found that 50 percent of 2,441 likely voters support Harris while 47 percent support Trump. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
How Are the Candidates Doing in Swing States?
It's important to note that polls only show the possible popular vote, which does not guarantee a victory. Due to the Electoral College, which awards each state a certain number of electoral votes based on population, a presidential candidate needs to secure 270 electoral votes to win the election. Polls from battleground states, therefore, may be more telling than those of national polls.
In the Silver Bulletin Presidential Model, which was last updated on Saturday afternoon, Harris leads Trump by 1.9 points in Michigan (48.3 to 46.4 percent), by 1.3 points in Pennsylvania (48.2 to 46.9 percent), by 0.9 points in Georgia (48.3 to 47.4 percent), by 3.2 points in Wisconsin (49.4 to 46.2 percent) and by 0.9 points in Nevada (48.6 to 47.7 percent).
Meanwhile, Trump is ahead of Harris by 0.4 points in North Carolina (48.4 to 48 percent) and by 0.6 points in Arizona (48.5 to 47.9 percent).
Update 9/2/24, 2:01 p.m. ET: This article has been updated with comment from Kevin Wagner.
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