WGC-FedEx St. Jude 2020 Picks: Latest Odds and Trends for TPC Southwind

World No. 1 Jon Rahm is the man to beat at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational which begins Thursday at TPC Southwind in Memphis.

The Spaniard is an 8/1 favorite with DraftKings and a 10/1 favorite with both Bet MGM and Fan Duel, followed by Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy, who are 9/1 and 11/1 with DraftKings respectively.

Rahm dethroned Rory McIlroy at the top of the world rankings two weeks ago after winning the Memorial Tournament, a somewhat surprising feat given he had not finished higher than 27th in four starts since the PGA Tour returned after the hiatus enforced by the coronavirus pandemic.

Having climbed to No. 1 in the world for the first time in his career, Rahm is determined to hold on to top spot for as long as possible.

"Being No. 1 in the world is a great thing. It's a consequence of playing good golf throughout the last four years, not only last week," he was quoted as saying by Golf Channel.

"Getting here, it's great. I played great golf the last four years, but I can keep playing that good or better to hopefully stay here for a long time."

Thomas, meanwhile, finished tied for 15th on his debut at TPC Southwind last year and has been in remarkably consistent form since the restart, finishing in the top-20 in four events, which included losing a playoff at the Workday Charity Open three weeks ago.

McIlroy's form, meanwhile, has been less impressive. Having finished outside the top-10 once in 10 entries after missing the cut at The Open Championship last July, the Northern Irishman hasn't finished higher than 11th in the four events he's played since the PGA Tour resumed last month and has lost the crown of world to No. 1 to Rahm.

McIlroy, however, finished tied for fourth and tied for seventh in his last two visits to TPC Southwind and boasts a phenomenal record in WGC events, finishing below 11th just once in his last 13 WGC starts.

Bryson DeChambeau is next in line at 14/1, ahead of Patrick Cantlay and Webb Simpson at 20/1 and 22/1 respectively.

If DeChambeau's transformation has grabbed the headlines over the last two months—he packed on 20 pounds thanks to a gruelling workout regime that began before the lockdown—his form deserves attention too.

The Californian may have missed the cut at the Memorial Tournament two weeks ago, but had registered seven consecutive top-eight finishes prior to that, including winning the Rocket Mortgage Classic a week earlier. DeChambeau has never finished higher than 45th at TPC Southwind, but that could change this weekend if he can get his driving game going.

Like DeChambeau, Simpson also missed the cut at the Memorial Tournament and, like DeChambeau, he has one win under his belt since the restart, courtesy of a first-place finish at the RBC Heritage.

Simpson ranks fourth and second on the PGA Tour in scoring average and birdie average respectively and is in the top-20 in terms of greens hit in regulations and driving accuracy. Considering he finished second in Memphis 12 months ago, it would not be a major surprise to see the 34-year-old involved at the business end of the tournament come Sunday afternoon.

Brooks Koepka, the man who finished ahead of Simpson a year ago, is a 28-1 shot to defend his title. The four-time major winner has missed the cut twice in his last three entries and his best result since the restart is a seventh place finish at the RBC Heritage last month. Over the last few years, however, few players have thrived in majors as much as the Floridian and with the PGA Championship just a week away, this would be the perfect time for Koepka to rediscover some form.

Brooks Koepka, PGA Tour
Brooks Koepka poses with the trophy after winning the World Golf Championship-FedEx St Jude Invitational at TPC Southwind on July 28, 2019 in Memphis, Tennessee. Sam Greenwood/Getty