Here's What the Latest Polls Say About New Hampshire As the Primary Gets Underway

The next stop for 2020 candidates in the Democratic primary is New Hampshire, where residents will vote Tuesday on their preference for the party's presidential nominee.

While the New England state is one of the more difficult early-voting states to predict, the latest surveys show that Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders is likely to repeat his 2016 win in the area—especially after his strong performance in the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucus last week.

"We are the strongest campaign to defeat the most dangerous president in modern American history," Sanders said at a CNN town hall event in New Hampshire last week.

But former South Bend, Indiana, mayor Pete Buttigieg could give Sanders a run for his money. Buttigieg, the youngest candidate in the race, has also been riding the momentum from his delegate victory in Iowa and has surged to second place in New Hampshire just ahead of the primary.

The two were separated by just 7 percentage points in CNN's final poll of the Granite State. The survey, released on Monday, found Sanders in the lead with 29 percent support from likely primary voters. In second place was Buttigieg with 22 percent support and in third place was former Vice President Joe Biden with 11 percent support.

Just outside the leading trio of candidates was Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar. Ten percent of likely primary voters said they'd back Warren at the ballot box and 7 percent said they'd support Klobuchar.

CNN also found that nearly six in 10 voters think Sanders is the candidate most likely to win the New Hampshire primary. Meanwhile, just 10 percent said they expected Buttigieg to come out victorious and 6 percent said Biden or Warren would win.

Democrats are battling for New Hampshire's 24 delegates on Tuesday, which are later used by the party's convention to decide who will be the nominee to challenge President Donald Trump in the general election. FiveThirtyEight forecasters predict that Sanders will pick up the most amount of delegates in each congressional district in New Hampshire. Buttigieg, they estimated, will be the only other contender likely to garner a significant amount of delegates.

In addition to his rise in early-voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire, the 78-year-old lawmaker is also climbing in the national polls.

A Quinnipiac University poll released on Monday showed Sanders on top with 25 percent support from Democratic voters. The Vermont senator had an 8-point lead over Biden and a 10-point lead over former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg, who rose significantly to capture the third-place position in the survey.

The latest Morning Consult poll also found Sanders overtaking Biden for the first time in the Democratic race.

new hampshire primary latest polls
Voters fill out their ballot sheets at the Northwest Elementary School polling station, to cast their vote in the New Hampshire Primary in Manchester, New Hampshire on February 11, 2020. The latest polls show Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders ahead of his Democratic rivals in New Hampshire. Joseph Prezioso/AFP/Getty Images

The Quinnipiac poll was conducted in the wake of the Iowa caucuses, which propelled both the Sanders and Buttigieg campaigns. While vote reporting problems plagued the process and delayed results for over a week, the final count had Buttigieg winning the delegate count in the state. But Sanders won the popular vote, netting support from roughly 6,000 more caucus-goers.

Both campaigns have asked for the Iowa Democratic Party to conduct a "partial recanvass" of the results from the first-in-the-nation caucus. But even with the confusion surrounding the Iowa caucus, Sanders and Buttigieg saw a bump in the polls after performing well in the state.

The two candidates each experienced a four-point bump in the national Quinnipiac poll after Iowa. But Buttigieg is still in fifth place overall, while Sanders' increase helped land him in the top spot heading into the contest in New Hampshire.

The New Hampshire primary is already underway. The polls close at 7 p.m. EST.