Who Will Win Golden Globes, and Who Should Win

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Will Leonardo DiCaprio, who's been notoriously snubbed for awards in the past, take home the best actor prize for "The Revenant"? Shannon Stapleton/Reuters

The Wild West of award shows, the Golden Globes, will honor show business's standouts Sunday night. While the Globes are viewed as a trusty barometer of who might be nominated for Academy Awards, they've historically been tough to predict, with young talent often trumping veterans. While it's unclear who will take home awards for contentious categories like Best Actress in a Drama, it's certain that the show's host, British comic Ricky Gervais, will make some scandalous jokes during his fourth run at the gig.

Be warned: You'll need to watch the tube for this one, as NBC has confirmed to Newsweek that the 73rd Annual Globes won't be streamed live. Ahead of the show, here's who we think will be winning big on Sunday, as well as who we think should.

Best Motion Picture-Drama

Nominees: Mad Max: Fury Road, Room, Spotlight, The Revenant, Carol

Who Will Win: Carol

Who Should Win: Spotlight

Why: Carol, Todd Haynes's stunning Patricia Highsmith adaptation, is a masterwork, and features smoldering performances from Rooney Mara and Cate Blanchett alike. And it's the favorite, for good reason. But Tom McCarthy's gripping depiction of the Boston Globe journalists who exposed the child molestation accusations against the Catholic Church in Spotlight is not only harrowing, but is illuminated by a fantastic ensemble cast that includes Rachel McAdams, Mark Ruffalo, John Slattery, Brian d'Arcy James and Michael Keaton.

Best Motion Picture-Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Joy, Spy, The Big Short, The Martian, Trainwreck

Who Will Win: The Big Short

Who Should Win: The Martian

Why: A latecomer to the race, The Big Short has been praised for its palatable and punchy interpretation of the 2007 financial crisis. But Matt Damon's turn in the space-age dramedy The Martian gives us a glance at a place beyond our understanding, and at the loneliness of forging new frontiers. But given the traditional Globes aversion to science fiction, it's unlikely to be a winner.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Drama

Nominees: Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn), Rooney Mara (Carol), Brie Larson (Room), Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl), Cate Blanchett (Carol)

Who Will Win: Cate Blanchett

Who Should Win: Cate Blanchett

Why: This category might be one of the most contentious at this year's Globes: Brie Larson shattered hearts in Room, and newcomer Saoirse Ronan's turn in Brooklyn is one of the year's most understated performances. Rooney Mara is sensational as the lovesick Therese in Carol, as well. Yet Cate Blanchett's portrayal of Carol, the eponymous protagonist immortalized in Highsmith's novel The Price of Salt, is wrenching in ways you wouldn't expect, using sly glances, quivers and expressions to convey what words never could.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture-Drama

Nominees: Will Smith (Concussion), Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs), Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl), Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant), Bryan Cranston (Trumbo)

Who Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio

Who Should Win: Eddie Redmayne

Why: It would make sense that Leo, who's been notoriously snubbed by the awards five times, will finally nab the gold for his role in Alejandro Iñárritu's tundra tragedy. But Eddie Redmayne's riveting turn as Lili Elbe, the real-life transgender pioneer, a follow-up to his Award-winning portrayal of Stephen Hawking in 2014, is a formidable jump forward in his abilities.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture-Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Lily Tomlin (Grandma), Jennifer Lawrence (Joy), Melissa McCarthy (Spy), Maggie Smith (The Lady in the Van), Amy Schumer (Trainwreck)

Who Will Win: Amy Schumer

Who Should Win: Amy Schumer

Why: Jennifer Lawrence's abilities aren't being disputed here: She does a formidable job as Joy Mangano in David O. Russell's biopic, and Lily Tomlin's turn in Grandma is an unexpected comeback role that's been chatted about since its Sundance run. Yet Schumer's a shoo-in for this category in her first major motion picture role, which achieves so much more than its plot, about a hard-partier forced to soberly admit she's in love, might imply.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture-Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Al Pacino (Danny Collins), Mark Ruffalo (Infinitely Polar Bear), Christian Bale (The Big Short), Steve Carell (The Big Short), Matt Damon (The Martian)

Who Will Win: Matt Damon

Who Should Win: Christian Bale and Steve Carell

Why: Matt Damon's feel-good performance in The Martian has been widely praised, and with good reason. But the one-two punch of Christian Bale and Steve Carell in the rambunctious The Big Short makes for an unexpectedly emotive watch that's also topical.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture

Nominees: Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs), Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight), Helen Mirren (Trumbo), Jane Fonda (Youth), Alicia Vikander (Ex Machina)

Who Will Win: Kate Winslet

Who Should Win: Kate Winslet

Why: Alicia Vikander took on two roles of a lifetime this year—as an AI android in Ex Machina and as the artist Greta Wegender in The Danish Girl—and that has her poised for well-deserved recognition. And Jennifer Jason Leigh manages to still compel in The Hateful Eight, even when blood is down her face 100% of the time. Kate Winslet's turn as Joanna Hoffman, who was fearless in standing up to the late, demanding Steve Jobs, was the best part of the film—and should take the prize here.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture

Nominees: Michael Shannon (99 Homes), Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation), Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies), Sylvester Stallone (Creed), Paul Dano (Love & Mercy)

Who Will Win: Sylvester Stallone

Who Should Win: Paul Dano

Why: Sylvester Stallone's comeback in Creed was one of the most unexpected turns in film last year, sure. But Paul Dano became Brian Wilson in Bill Pohlad's Beach Boys biopic, from the short-sleeved sweaters to the angelic pipes. The Beach Boys went gold; so should Paul Dano for this role.

Best Director-Motion Picture

Nominees: Todd Haynes (Carol), George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road), Tom McCarthy (Spotlight), Ridley Scott (The Martian), Alejandro Iñárritu (The Revenant)

Who Will Win: Ridley Scott

Who Should Win: Alejandro Iñárritu

Why: Ridley Scott is the favorite in this top category, and it's understandable why. Iñárritu, though, keeps expanding his reach and ambitions as a filmmaker that merits recognition. In just a year's time, his doomsday drama The Revenant is light-years away from the brainy Birdman. Who knows what he'll do in 2016?

Best Screenplay-Motion Picture

Nominees: Emma Donoghue (Room), Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer (Spotlight), Aaron Sorkin (Steve Jobs), Charles Randolph and Adam McKay (The Big Short), Quentin Tarantino (The Hateful Eight)

Who Will Win: McCarthy and Singer

Who Should Win: McCarthy and Singer

Why: This year, Tarantino was a bit too cute with The Hateful Eight: It's much more likely to be Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer, who, much like the terrific Boston Globe investigative reporters they honor in Spotlight, took a convoluted tale and made something we couldn't tear our eyes away from.

Best Motion Picture-Animated

Nominees: Inside Out, Shaun the Sheep Movie, The Good Dinosaur, The Peanuts Movie, Anomalisa

Who Will Win: Inside Out

Who Should Win: Inside Out

Why: Charlie Kaufman's perplexing puppetry drama Anomalisa is unlike anything you'll see in 2015 (or any other year), yet the psychologically groundbreaking and spectacular Inside Out is practically the undisputed choice for the Best Animated Motion Picture.

Best Motion Picture-Foreign Language

Nominees: Mustang (France), Son of Saul (Hungary), The Brand New Testament (Belgium, France, Luxembourg), The Club (Chile), The Fencer (Finland, Germany, Estonia)

Who Will Win: Mustang

Who Should Win: Son of Saul

Why: The breathtaking Mustang, about five sheltered Turkish sisters, has drawn its fair share of comparisons to The Virgin Suicides. Which we love. But László Nemes's Son of Saul, winner of last year's Grand Prize at Cannes, tackles the Sonderkommando, a group of Jewish prisoners at Auschwitz-Birkenau who were forced to help the Nazis in extermination. It's a tough yet rewarding watch, probing a new facet of WWII, and an astonishing debut for Nemes.

Best Original Score-Motion Picture

Nominees: Carter Burwell (Carol), Daniel Pemberton (Steve Jobs), Alexandre Desplat (The Danish Girl), Ennio Morricone (The Hateful Eight), Ryuichi Sakamoto and Alva Noto (The Revenant)

Who Will Win: Carter Burwell

Who Should Win: Ennio Morricone

Why: Carter Burwell's intoxicating score for Carol transported audiences smack-dab to 1950s Madison Avenue, and deserves the nod for sure. Yet The Hateful Eight may have just been The Eight were it not for musical maestro Ennio Morricone's mighty, tense arrangements anchoring the film.

Best Original Song-Motion Picture

Nominees: "Love Me Like You Do" (50 Shades of Grey), "See You Again" (Furious 7), "One Kind of Love" (Love & Mercy), "Writing's On the Wall" (Spectre), "Simple Song #3" (Youth)

Who Will Win: "Writing's On the Wall"

Who Should Win: "One Kind of Love"

Why: The British crooner Sam Smith took on the theme song for the latest Bond flick Spectre, and given that it's the first one to ever top the U.K. charts, it's primed to win here. And God only knows Brian Wilson's songwriting prime may have been in the past, but the lovely "One Kind of Love," a song that he wrote for Bill Pohlad's Beach Boys biopic Love & Mercy, is proof that the talent to move people with song is inherent, and never goes away.

Best Television Series-Drama

Nominees: Game of Thrones, Mr. Robot, Narcos, Outlander, Empire

Who Will Win: Empire

Who Should Win: Mr. Robot

Why: Danny Strong's hip-hopera Empire remains one of the most deliciously engrossing shows to watch, and Outlander's surprising cult appeal is tough to deny (we can't say the same for the half-baked Narcos). USA's surprise hit Mr. Robot deserves this award, hands down. The show's first season is hacking drama on paper, but so much more than that: It's a show for our uncertain times, featuring standout performances and tension and twists that will leave even the most avid TV watchers slack-jawed.

Best Television Series-Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Casual, Mozart in the Jungle, Orange is the New Black, Silicon Valley, Transparent

Who Will Win: Transparent

Who Should Win: Transparent

Why: This one's tough, especially given how delightful Gael Garcia Bernal is in composing comedy Mozart in the Jungle. But Transparent's paradigm-shifting second season was somehow even more emotive, brilliantly executed and brutally funny than season one. Give showrunner Jill Soloway all of the awards.

Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture Made For Television

Nominees: American Crime, American Horror Story: Hotel, Fargo, Flesh & Bone, Wolf Hall

Who Will Win: Fargo
Who Should Win: Fargo

Why: It's a bit puzzling why Fargo didn't make the cut for Best Drama, but no matter. At least it's being recognized, and will be a likely winner Sunday night for its angular interpretation of the Coen brothers' film of the same name that probes the peril of "Midwestern niceness." You betcha!

Best Performance by an Actress in a Limited Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Nominees: Lady Gaga (American Horror Story: Hotel), Queen Latifah (Bessie), Kirsten Dunst (Fargo), Sarah Hay (Flesh & Bone), Felicity Huffman (American Crime)

Who Will Win: Lady Gaga
Who Should Win: Kirsten Dunst

Why: We're not knocking the multi-talented Gaga, whose many merits include her role in American Horror Story: Hotel and dueting alongside Tony Bennett, but Kirsten Dunst's stab at Peggy Blomquist in Fargo's second season is a surprising comedic take for the actress, a frequent figure in capital-D dramas like Melancholia. And she does it with panache.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Limited Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Nominees: Patrick Wilson (Fargo), Idris Elba (Luther), David Oyelowo (Nightingale), Oscar Isaac (Show Me a Hero), Mark Rylance (Wolf Hall)

Who Will Win: Mark Rylance
Who Should Win: Oscar Isaac

Why: Mark Rylance is the frontrunner here, and could take home the Globe for his portrayal of Thomas Cromwell in the successful historical drama Wolf Hall—especially if he gets passed up for his nomination in Bridge of Spies. Yet Oscar Isaac's turn as the prickly local politician Nick Wasicsko is a more unusual and Globe-worthy role. For one, Show Me a Hero revisits an underrepresented part of New York's fraught housing history, and flexes facets of Isaac's acting talents we didn't expect.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series-Drama

Nominees: Taraji P. Henson (Empire), Robin Wright (House of Cards), Viola Davis (How to Get Away With Murder), Caitriona Balfe (Outlander), Eva Green (Penny Dreadful)

Who Will Win: Taraji P. Henson
Who Should Win: Taraji P. Henson

Why: Is there a more distinctive character to come out of drama in recent years than Cookie Lyons, the no-bullshit, fabulous matriarch who runs the Lyon clan in Empire? The answer is no. This one's a no-brainer.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series-Drama

Nominees: Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul), Jon Hamm (Mad Men), Rami Malek (Mr. Robot), Wagner Moura (Narcos), Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan)

Who Will Win: Jon Hamm
Who Should Win: Rami Malek

Why: It's been a hell of a year for Jon Hamm, who wrapped up his iconic role as Don Draper in Mad Men's final season this year. He finally nabbed that Emmy for Best Actor, and he might do it again here unless the Globes decides to go for the more avant-garde choice of Rami Malek, the wild-eyed, wonderful and hopelessly unreliable narrator of Mr. Robot.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series-Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Rachel Bloom (Crazy Ex-Girlfriend), Lily Tomlin (Grace and Frankie), Gina Rodriguez (Jane the Virgin), Jamie Lee Curtis (Scream Queens), Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep)

Who Will Win: Rachel Bloom
Who Should Win: Rachel Bloom

Why: The CW's programming as of late has produced two unexpected gems: Jane the Virgin and Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, whose formidable leads are aptly nominated for this category. Cliche title aside, the musical comedy series Crazy Ex-Girlfriend is a wickedly funny, often weird show, anchored by the triple threat Rachel Bloom, who, in addition to acting, singing and dancing on the show, serves as an executive producer. How's that for multi-tasking?

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series-Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Aziz Ansari (Master of None), Gael Garcia Bernal (Mozart in the Jungle), Rob Lowe (The Grinder), Jeffrey Tambor (Transparent), Patrick Stewart (Blunt Talk)

Who Will Win: Jeffrey Tambor
Who Should Win: Jeffrey Tambor

Why: This category is stacked with talent, and includes a nod for Aziz Ansari's spot-on portrayal of the millennial of color experience in Master of None, and Patrick Stewart's return as the fast-talking, hard-drinking, troublemaking anchor Walter Blunt. Tambor's turn as Maura Pfefferman snagged him the Globe last year, and we wouldn't be surprised if he got it again given just how sensational the new season of Transparent is. In fact, you should probably stop what you're doing and go watch it right now.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Nominees: Regina King (American Crime), Joanne Froggatt (Downton Abbey), Uzo Aduba (Orange is the New Black), Maura Tierney (The Affair), Judith Light (Transparent)

Who Will Win: Judith Light
Who Should Win: Uzo Aduba

Why: Judith Light keeps breaking our hearts over and over again in Transparent, as the former partner of the transgender Maura Pfefferman. But the depth Uzo Aduba brings to her character "Crazy Eyes" continues to give us a reason to watch Orange is the New Black.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Nominees: Ben Mendelsohn (Bloodline), Christian Slater (Mr. Robot), Tobias Menzies (Outlander), Alan Cumming (The Good Wife), Damian Lewis (Wolf Hall)

Who Will Win: Christian Slater
Who Should Win: Christian Slater

Why: Slater said it himself so many years ago in Heathers: "The extreme always seems to make an impression." And his role as the eponymously named Mr. Robot is extreme to say the least, and possibly an award-winning one at that.