Who Might Replace Boris Johnson? Latest Odds Ahead of Key Vote

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson could soon be ousted as leader of the country, with other prominent Tory politicians now poised to take his place, according to bookmakers.

Johnson will face a confidence vote on Monday evening between 6 p.m. and 8 p.m., London time.

Sir Graham Brady, the chairman of the 1922 Committee of backbench Conservative MPs, said he had received enough letters from the ruling party's lawmakers demanding a vote on Johnson's leadership to trigger one.

That happens if 54 Conservative lawmakers—15 percent of the party's members in the House of Commons—write to Brady.

Boris Johnson
Prime Minister, Boris Johnson during a visit to CityFibre Training Academy on May 27, 2022 in Stockton-on-Tees, England. Boris Johnson is set to face a vote of no confidence on June 6, 2022. James Glossop/Getty

"The threshold of 15 percent of the parliamentary party seeking a vote of confidence in the leader of the Conservative Party has been exceeded," Brady announced in a press release on Monday.

The ballots will be counted "immediately afterward" and the result of the vote would be announced "at a time to be advised," Brady said.

Oddschecker, a comparison website that shows the betting odds across the UK's bookmakers, has listed the Conservative politicians who may replace Johnson.

Among Johnson's possible Tory successors are Cabinet ministers and former party leadership election candidates.

According to the bookmakers, former Tory leader election candidate Jeremy Hunt has the best odds of a Conservative MP to become the next Prime Minister.

This is followed by Tory MP, Tom Tugendhat, Foreign Affairs Minister Liz Truss, Tory MP Penny Mordaunt, Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak, and Defense Secretary Ben Wallace.

At the time of writing, the best odds for Jeremy Hunt replacing Johnson stand at 31/5.

For Tom Tugendhat, the best odds stand at 9/1.

For Liz Truss, the best odds stand at 10/1.

For Penny Mordaunt, the best odds stand at 12/1.

For Ben Wallace, the best odds stand at 13/1.

For Rishi Sunak, the best odds stand at 14/1.

The Oddschecker website included betting odds from Bet365, Sky Bet, Paddy Power, William Hill, 888 Sport, Betfair, Bevictor, Coral, UniBet, Spread Ex, BetFred, SBK, Boyle Sports, 10 Bet, Sport Nation, Sporting Index, Quinn Bet, Betway, Ladbrokes, Pari Match and Vbet.

If Johnson loses the vote among the 359 Conservative lawmakers, he must resign and is barred from standing in the party leadership contest that follows. If he wins, he will be safe from another challenge for a year.

Johnson "welcomes the opportunity to make his case to MPs" and the vote is "a chance to end months of speculation and allow the government to draw a line and move on," his office told the BBC on Monday.

The prime minister has been losing the support of his party's lawmakers since the release of a damning official report into the "partygate" scandal that detailed a series of rule-breaking parties that were held in the prime minister's Downing Street office during COVID lockdowns.

Newsweek has contacted Downing Street for comment.