RALEIGH, NC – MARCH 3: Roy Cooper, former governor of North Carolina and Democratic US Senate candidate for North Carolina, speaks during a North Carolina primary election night event at TRAINE at Seaboard Station on March 3, 2026 in Raleigh, North Carolina. Cooper is facing against Michael Whatley, former chairperson of the Republican National Committee (RNC) to replace Sen. Thom Tillis in the 2026 midterm election. (Photo by Al Drago/Getty Images)

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Anna Commander

By Anna Commander

News Editor

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Former Democratic North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper is leading in a new poll against Republican Michael Whatley for the state's open U.S. Seante seat, a survey from High Point University Survey Research Center and YouGov showed this week.

The Senate election in North Carolina, a battleground state, will likely be one of the most competitive races of this year's midterms, particularly after Republican Thom Tillis opted against running for another term.

Why It Matters

Historically, the party in the White House loses seats during the midterms, so Democrats are hopeful President Donald Trump's approval rating, which most polls suggest has dropped in recent months, could give them an advantage.

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But federal races in North Carolina have proved elusive for Democrats, who have not won the state at the Senate or presidential level since 2008.

Roy Cooper, former governor of North Carolina and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate, speaks during a primary election night event at TRAINE at Seaboard Station on March 3, 2026, in Raleigh, North Carolina. (Photo by Al Drago/Getty Images)

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What To Know

According to the poll, Cooper has 50 percent support among likely voters to Whatley's 42 percent. Among registered voters, Cooper has 49 percent to Whatley's 39 percent. According to the survey, 6 percent of likely voters are unsure, as are 9 percent of registered voters.

The poll surveyed 800 North Carolina adults from March 26 to April 6 and has a credibility of 4.1 percent for self-identified registered voters and 4.3 percent for likely voters.

The poll also showed that when asked if the election for Senate were held today, 47 percent of likely voters would vote Democrat, as would 45 percent of registered voters. The poll showed that 45 percent of likely voters would vote Republican, along with 43 percent of registered voters.

Trump's approval rating among likely voters is 42 percent and among registered voters is 39 percent. His disapproval rating among likely voters is 55 percent and 56 percent among registered voters.

Another poll by health care advocacy group Healthier United that was released late last month showed Cooper in the lead, with 50 percent support to Whatley's 32 percent. Libertarian Shannon Bray was at 4 percent, with 14 percent undecided.

The poll surveyed 800 registered voters in North Carolina on March 8-9 and has a margin of error of 3.46 percent.

Cooper and Whatley have traded jabs online. Cooper has called out Whatley for his previous remarks about the economy, while Whatley has ripped Cooper on taxes and immigration policy.

What Happens Next

The general election is scheduled for November 3, and both campaigns are expected to intensify outreach in the remaining months.

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