Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden by 43 points among unvaccinated voters in a potential 2024 rematch, according to a new poll, which found a partisan divide being driven by vaccine willingness.
Though most Americans—regardless of political affiliation—have been fully vaccinated, the YouGov/Yahoo News poll reported greater vaccine hesitancy among Republicans than Democrats or independents.
Fifty-eight percent of voters who are not fully vaccinated plan to vote for Trump should he run for president again in 2024—opposed to only 15 percent who plan to vote for Biden, according to the poll. Meanwhile, another 27 percent of unvaccinated people said they are not sure who they'd vote for.
Despite Trump's big win among the unvaccinated, Biden would still beat him by about four points among all voters, the poll found. Forty-one percent of all voters said they'd back Biden, while 37 percent said they'd vote for the former president.
Biden's hypothetical win is in part fueled by a significant lead among fully vaccinated voters—who made up 69 percent of respondents. He won 55 percent of those who are fully vaccinated, while Trump won 27 percent, according to the poll.
The poll found similar results for the 2022 midterm elections. Democratic House candidates led their GOP counterparts by three points—36 percent to 33 percent—but unvaccinated voters backed the GOP by 31 points. Meanwhile, Democrats won vaccinated voters by 21 points.
The poll surveyed 1,623 U.S. adults from March 11 to 14 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percent.
Although Trump has not announced a 2024 bid for the presidency, he has hinted to his supporters that he may seek a rematch against Biden, who narrowly carried several key battleground states in 2020.
If Trump runs again, polls found that he would start as a strong favorite among the GOP primary, but could face challenges from other Republican lawmakers including Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who has been frequently floated as a potential presidential candidate.
Polls have found that a rematch between Trump and Biden could be close. A February YouGov poll found Biden leading by one point. However, a Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll from earlier in March found Trump with a two-point lead among likely voters.
Trump told Fox News host Sean Hannity earlier this month people would be "very happy" in 2024, which could be a possible hint that he plans to run again.
Biden has said he plans to run again as well if he is in good health, though 30 percent of Democrats do not expect him to run in 2024, according to a recent Wall Street Journal poll. Some respondents pointed to the impact of the presidency on someone his age.
A CNN poll from February found that more than half of all Democrats believe the party should nominate another candidate—while only 45 percent said they should renominate Biden.
