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By Anna Commander
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President Donald Trump's approval rating among Hispanics has dropped to a new second-term low, a survey from Emerson College Polling shows on Wednesday.
The same poll found Democrats leading Republicans by 10 percent on the generic congressional ballot, and the survey's director said Democratic gains were driven in part by increased support among Hispanic voters, underscoring the political stakes for both parties heading into the midterms.
Trump has also landed record or near‑record lows among other key voting blocs, including Gen Z and independent voters, potentially compounding headwinds for the White House and GOP amid public concern over the cost of living and the war with Iran.
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In an email to Newsweek on Wednesday, White House Spokeswoman Allison Schuster said, “President Trump was honored to receive a record level of support from Hispanic Americans that helped fuel his landslide 2024 election victory, and he’s spent every day since his inauguration working to make life better for them, and all Americans."
Schuster added, "From passing the largest middle-class tax cuts in American history, including No Tax on Tips, Overtime, and Social Security, to defeating Biden’s inflation crisis, hardworking Hispanic Americans are beginning to have some breathing room after four years of economic pain under the Democrats. There’s much more work to do, which is why President Trump and Republicans in Congress will continue fighting to make everyday life more affordable for working families.”
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Why It Matters
Hispanic voters are a sizable electorate whose preferences can swing close races. Previous polling during Trump's second term showed Hispanic support of Trump waning amid his administration's aggressive immigration enforcement agenda and mixed economic signals.
Though Hispanic voters have historically leaned Democratic, they played a pivotal role in Trump's 2024 win.
What To Know
According to the poll, Trump's overall approval rating is 40 percent versus a 56 percent disapproval rating. Among Hispanics, the president's approval rating is roughly 29 percent versus 70 percent disapproval.
“Trump is underwater among Hispanic voters, 70% to 29%, compared to this time last year when they were split: 44% disapproved and 41% approved,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in part.
The poll was taken among 1,000 likely U.S. voters from April 24 to April 26 and has a margin of error of 3 percent.
According to a national survey in March with the pollster, Trump's approval rating among Hispanics was roughly 39 percent versus a 47 percent disapproval rating. In February, his approval mark with the group was roughly 37 percent versus 58 percent disapproval.
In all the national surveys taken during Trump's second term in office with the pollster, this is the lowest net approval rating the president has received with Hispanics.
“Democrats’ strength is driven by an increase in support among Hispanic voters, women, and independents,” Kimball said in part. “Hispanics break for Democrats by a 35-point margin, 61% to 26%, women by 21 points, 55% to 34%, and independents by 19 points, 50% to 31%.”
Florida State University political science professor Andrew Ballard told Newsweek via email on Wednesday, when asked if this is a concerning group to lose approval from as compared to millennials and independents: "Hispanic voters have certainly been important to President Trump's electoral success, but it's hard for me to rank the importance of groups that have so much overlap between them. Thinking in the terms of your question (race), white voters are still by far the most important for Republican electoral efforts."
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