Donald Trump's Chances of Beating DeSantis as Polls Paint Worrying Picture

The latest polling data has suggested that voters would prefer Florida Governor Ron DeSantis than former President Donald Trump to represent the Republican Party in the 2024 presidential election.

On November 15, Trump announced that he would be running again for president following his loss to Joe Biden in 2020. While DeSantis has not officially announced he is standing in the election, he is widely expected to run as the Republican nomination.

A FiveThirtyEight report has highlighted that the majority of recent polling, conducted before Trump's announcement, has shown DeSantis beating Trump.

Ron DeSants Donald Trump
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis speaks during a press conference to update information about the on ongoing efforts to help people after hurricane Ian passed through the area on October 4, 2022 in Cape Coral, Florida. Donald Trump speaks to the media while departing a polling station after voting in the US midterm elections at Morton and Barbara Mandel Recreation Center in Palm Beach, Florida, on November 8, 2022. The latest polling has suggested that voters would prefer DeSantis over Trump for the Republican candidate in the 2024 Presidential election Getty

A YouGov poll conducted between November 13 and November 15, with a sample size of 432 adults, put DeSantis ahead by 7 points at 46 percent compared to Trump's 39 percent.

A Seven Letter Insight poll, conducted between November 10 and November 15 with a sample size of 543 likely voters, had a similar victory for DeSantis. In this poll, DeSantis led by 8 points at 34 percent to Trump's 26 percent.

Two polls conducted by WPA Intelligence with larger sample groups of likely voters, both conducted between November 11 and November 13, had DeSantis as the victor.

The first poll was conducted with 843 likely voters and saw DeSantis win by 20 points at 55 percent to Trump's 35 percent. The second poll, conducted with 1,044 likely voters, saw DeSantis win by 26 points at 56 percent to Trump's 30.

However, two recent polls have indicated that Trump would defeat DeSantis.

One poll conducted by Morning Consult between November 10 and November 14, with a sample size of 842 registered voters, saw Trump win with a margin of 14 points at 47 percent to DeSantis' 33 percent.

The second poll, by Big Village, saw Trump win by a larger margin of 16 points. The poll, conducted between November 9 and November 10 with a sample size of 384 adults, saw Trump win with 50 percent of votes compared to DeSantis' 34 percent.

Trump may also find that some of his previous donors are now eyeing up the possibility of supporting DeSantis instead.

On Wednesday, a spokesperson for Ronald Lauder, who owns half of the Estée Lauder fortune, told CNBC that the billionaire won't help finance Trump's latest presidential campaign.

Other billionaires who have publicly stated they won't back Trump for 2024 include Blackstone CEO Stephen Schwarzman, Citadel founder Ken Griffin and businessman Andy Sabin.

Thomas Peterffy, founder of the Interactive Brokers Group Inc., said while he'd back Trump if the former president received the GOP nomination, he would do everything he could to make sure another Republican gets the coveted spot.

The Guardian also reported that media mogul Rupert Murdoch had "made it clear to [Trump] that we cannot back another run for the White House."

Newsweek has contacted Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump for comment.