How Mike Pence's 2024 Chances Compare to Donald Trump's

Former Vice President Mike Pence has continued to distanced himself from Donald Trump, as speculation mounts that the politician is taking steps towards his own candidacy at the presidential election of 2024.

After showing Trump enduring loyalty through controversies, investigations and impeachments, in the last six weeks Pence has tried to uncoupled himself from the former president, taking actions to move out of Trump's shadow.

The rift between the two has been clear since June 2021, when Pence said for the first time that he will likely never see eye to eye with the former president on the violent mob of Trump supporters which attacked the Capitol on January 6.

Last month, responding to Trump's argument that Pence could have overturned the results of the 2020 elections, the former vice president said: "President Trump is wrong."

More recently, Pence's determination to mark his own territory among Republican voters and disentangle his political message from the one of Trump has become even more evident.

Speaking to Republican donors on March 4 about the ongoing war in Ukraine, Pence was clearly referring to Trump when he said: "There is no room in this party for apologists of Putin."

Where Trump had described the build-up of Russian troops at the Ukrainian border preceding the full-scale invasion as a "genius" move from Vladimir Putin, Pence has always been a vocal critic of the Russian president.

In an interview with Fox News last week, Pence praised the courage of Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky and called for economically isolating the Kremlin. He added that Putin was the only person to blame for the ongoing war in Ukraine.

Pence has so far shied away from making any commitment to put his name forward in the 2024 presidential elections.

Trump is still a powerful figure within the Republican party, and it's hard to predict whether Republican voters would rally around Pence in the 2024 elections, although his candidacy could be seen as a test for the party itself to discover whether a post-Trump future is even possible.

Once Trump's subservient sidekick, Pence has now taken enough distance from the former president to be seen as his own man. However, he has combined his attacks against Trump with praises to the Trump's administration achievements.

What Are the Odds of a Pence Presidency?

Betting odds offered by bookmakers show that Pence would struggle to affirm himself against Trump in the incoming presidential elections.

Betting odds still see Trump as the most popular among all candidates in the presidential elections, with ​​Betfair, the world's largest online betting exchange, putting Trump's odds of winning the election at 10-3, and Pence out at 14-1.

Biden's odds, by comparison, are at 9-2.

Compared to November 2021, Pence's odds have remained the same while Trump's have been cut, meaning he has better odds now than five months ago.

Trump has not formally confirmed he will run for president again in the 2024 elections.

Mike Pence Donald Trump
In this photo, U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence stand together during a homecoming campaign rally at the BB&T Center on November 26, 2019 in Sunrise, Florida. Trump recently announced Pence won't be his running mate in the 2024 elections. Joe Raedle/Getty Images

No Longer Running Mates

Any future alliance between Trump and his former number two has been dismissed by the former president, when in an interview with the Washington Examiner last week he said "people wouldn't accept" another Trump-Pence campaign.

In the same interview, Trump admitted being "disappointed" by Pence's stance on the former president's allegation of fraud in the 2020 elections.

In January 2021, Pence refused to overturn the results of the elections. Trump has never let go of the claim, repeatedly disproved, that the 2020 presidential election was rigged and that electoral college votes were stolen.

Trump claimed he still "likes" Pence, although he admitted the two haven't talked "in a long time."

"Mike and I had a great relationship except for the very important factor that took place at the end," Trump told the Washington Examiner.