Joe Biden's Approval Rating Hits New Low but Matches Donald Trump's: Poll

President Joe Biden's approval rating has reached a new low of just 40 percent in a Reuters/Ipsos poll published on Tuesday and now matches former President Donald Trump's approval at the same stage in his presidency.

The poll found that 54 percent of Americans disapprove of the job Biden is doing in what may be a concerning figure ahead of crucial midterm elections in November in which Republicans will aim to take back the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Trump had an approval rating of 40 percent in mid-March 2018, though it dipped below 40 percent several times over the course of his administration.

Biden's approval rating in the poll is down three percent on last week amid the ongoing war in Ukraine and Americans' worries about inflation. The survey found that the economy was Americans' top issue, followed by war and foreign conflicts.

A Monmouth University poll published last week also showed that Biden and Trump had identical approval ratings at this point in their presidencies.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted from March 21 to March 22 among 1,005 adults and had a credibility interval of 4 percent. Poll tracker FiveThirtyEight gives Reuters/Ipsos a B- rating.

The survey found a stark partisan divide in views about Biden. Among Democrats, 77 percent had a favorable view of the job the president was doing but just 10 percent of Republicans said the same. Only 27 percent of independents approved of Biden in what could be another indication of trouble for Democrats in the midterms.

A Marquette Law School poll conducted from January 10 to January 21 found a similar contrast between Democrats and Republicans when it came to Trump's favorability, with 74 percent of Republicans having a favorable impression of him along with just 4 percent of Democrats. A further 95 percent of Democrats had an unfavorable view of the former president.

Among independents, 26 percent viewed Trump favorably and 68 percent had an unfavorable view.

FiveThirtyEight tracks Biden's approval rating by analyzing a variety of polls and by using its own system of pollster ratings. They gave Biden an approval rating of 42.2 percent as of March 22, while 52.8 percent of Americans disapproved of the president.

Trump had an approval rating of 40.7 percent on March 23, 2018, according to FiveThirtyEight's analysis, while 53.2 percent of Americans disapproved of the job he was doing at that time.

Approval for Biden has been in negative territory since August 30, 2021—the day before the final withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan—but it has not yet dipped into the 30s in most polls or FiveThirtyEight's tracker.

By contrast, Trump's approval fell below 40 percent several times over the course of his presidency and FiveThirtyEight's analysis shows that just 38.6 percent of Americans approved of him on his final day in office on January 20, 2021. The figure for disapproval stood at 57.9 percent.

Republicans are likely to make criticism of Biden a central feature of their midterm campaigns as the party tries to retake the House and Senate. Winning just one chamber of Congress would allow the GOP to stymie Biden's agenda for the following two years leading into the 2024 presidential election.

Biden Speaks in the East Room
President Joe Biden speaks during an event celebrating the reauthorization of the Violence Against Women Act, in the East Room of the White House in Washington, D.C., on March 16, 2022. Biden's approval rating has reached a new low in the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll. NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images